南太平洋长鳍金枪鱼渔场预报模型研究Models of Forecasting Fishing Ground of Thunnus Alalunga in the South Pacific Ocean
范江涛,陈新军,钱卫国,刘必林
摘要(Abstract):
长鳍金枪鱼资源是南太平洋金枪鱼渔业的重要目标种类,也是我国金枪鱼延绳钓的主要捕捞对象之一。根据2008-2009年我国海洋渔业公司在南太平洋海域的生产数据,结合表层、105 m和205 m水层温度,以及海面高度、叶绿素a浓度等海洋环境数据,运用一元非线性回归方法,按季度建立基于各环境因子的长鳍金枪鱼栖息地适应性指数,采用算术平均法获得基于多环境因子的栖息地指数综合模型,并用于中心渔场的预报。通过与实际作业渔场的比较与验证,结果表明:模型预报准确性达到70%以上,具较高渔情预报准确度。
关键词(KeyWords): 长鳍金枪鱼;栖息地模型;渔情预报;南太平洋
基金项目(Foundation): 国家高技术研究发展计划项目(2007AA092201,2007AA092201);; 国家发改委专项(编号2060403);; 上海市捕捞学重点学科(S30702)资助
作者(Author): 范江涛,陈新军,钱卫国,刘必林
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