王腾飞,马仁锋

• 1:宁波大学海洋文化与经济研究中心
• 2:宁波大学地理与空间信息技术系

摘要(Abstract)：

构建演化博弈模型情景化模拟长三角港口群双港口间合作效益的稳定性以判别长三角港口群竞合关系趋向合作的临界条件。研究表明:(1)长三角海洋岸线类型总体呈现以南通市为分界点的空间格局,且目前长三角港口群合作形成以上海港和宁波―舟山港为核心的两条合作主线;(2)长三角港口群中港口合作策略稳定性受价格敏感度差异性的影响,呈现稳定性、不稳定性以及阶段性稳定的3种情景,且随着选择合作策略港口数量的增加,该比例最终会趋向稳定于某一水平;(3)港口高层管理者在选择策略时应考虑其他港口价格策略变动对自身策略的影响,共同优化长三角港口群演化方向。

关键词(KeyWords)： 价格;单总体演化博弈;情景模拟;上海港;宁波―舟山港

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 浙江省自然科学基金(LY17D010002)

作者(Author): 王腾飞,马仁锋

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