冯波,陈新军,西田勤

• 1:大洋生物资源开发和利用上海市高校重点实验室
• 2:广东海洋大学水产学院
• 3:上海海洋大学海洋科学学院
• 4:大洋渔业资源可持续开发省部共建教育部重点实验室

摘要(Abstract)：

根据1960-2002年印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼亲体量-补充量(stock-recruitment,SR)及其表层水温资料,利用Ricker模型,水温分期Ricker模型和模糊逻辑Ricker模型,考察表层加权水温与黄鳍金枪鱼亲体量、补充量之间的关系。研究表明,模糊逻辑Ricker模型拟合效果最好,水温分期Ricker模型次之,均优于原始Ricker模型。水温分期Ricker模型中的暖水月补充量比冷水月大,在黄鳍金枪鱼资源量较低时,暖水条件更有利于种群的繁衍。模糊逻辑Ricker模型得出冷水月和暖水月条件下的极端估计,受水温等外界条件影响,黄鳍金枪鱼的补充量在两条SR曲线间波动。水温等环境条件的变化产生了不同于依赖于密度因素的种群动力过程,限制了原始Ricker模型对亲体补充量关系的描述。

关键词(KeyWords)： 黄鳍金枪鱼;印度洋;模糊逻辑;Ricker模型

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家科技支撑计划(2006BAD09A05);; 上海市捕捞学重点学科(S30702);; 大洋生物资源开发和利用上海市高校重点实验室开放基金(KF200805)

作者(Author): 冯波,陈新军,西田勤

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